WEBVTT

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MORE THAN 1000 PEOPLE, MANY OF

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THEM CIVILIANS, KILLED IN THESE

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TWO WEEKS OF AMPLIFIED WRITING.

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>> MATT BRADLEY, THANK YOU.

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>>> FOR MORE, LET’S BRING IN

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NBC NEWS CHIEF ANALYST, AS WELL

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AS AUTHOR.

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GOOD MORNING. THANK YOU FOR

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JOINING US.

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WE FIRST WANT TO START BY

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ASKING YOU IN YOUR EXPERTISE TO

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PUT THIS ESCALATION INTO CONTEXT

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. WE’VE HAD A LOT OF

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CONVERSATIONS ABOUT WILL A

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WIDER WAR START, IS THE WIDER

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WAR, HOW HAS THIS ALREADY TENSE

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SITUATION ESCALATED?

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>> LET’S START WITH, WHAT IS A

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REGIONAL WAR?

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WE ARE NOT THERE YET.

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A REGIONAL WAR WOULD BE FULL ON

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AGGRESSIVE, CONTINUOUS COMMENT

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COMBAT BETWEEN IRAN AND ISRAEL.

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IT WOULD ALMOST CERTAINLY DRAG

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THE UNITED STATES IN, IN

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DEFENSE OF ISRAEL.

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IT WOULD SHUT DOWN THE, IT

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WOULD CRACK THE GLOBAL ECONOMY.

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THAT IS A REGIONAL WAR. WE ARE

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NOT THERE YET, FORTUNATELY.

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THE BAD NEWS IS THAT, I WOULD

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SAY, THE CHANCES OF GETTING

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THERE TO THAT WIDER, REGIONAL

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WAR, AS WE SIT HERE IN THE WAKE

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OF THE THEORIES, MOST RECENT

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SERIES OF STRIKES, I THINK IT

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IS PROBABLY AROUND 25%, A 25%

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CHANCE WE DO END UP IN A VERY

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WIDE, REGIONAL WAR. WHAT

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WORRIES ME IS, THE NEXT MOVE ON

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THE PART OF THE ISRAELIS.

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THERE ARE A LOT OF VOICES IN

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ISRAEL WHO HAVE WATCHED THE

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SUCCESSES OF THE IDF AGAINST

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HAMAS, A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION

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IN THE SOUTH, AND GAZA, THE

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SUCCESS OF NORTH. AS MATT SAID,

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THE KILLING AROUND THE REGION,

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MANY ENEMIES OF ISRAEL, IT

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FEELS LIKE A GO FOR ITS MOMENT

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TO MANY ISRAELIS.

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IRAN IS A NATION OF 90 MILLION

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PEOPLE.

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ISRAEL IS A COUNTRY WITH 10

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MILLION PEOPLE, ULTIMATELY,

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THAT IS NOT A GOOD CORRELATION

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OF FORCES.

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LET’S HOPE THE ISRAELIS STRIKE

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BACK.

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I THINK THEY ARE GOING TO, AND

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THEY SHOULD. THE IDEA OF

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LAUNCHING A WAR, A SERIOUS WAR

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WITH IRAN IS UNFORTUNATELY ON

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THE TABLE AND IS VERY

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DANGEROUS.

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>> I MEAN, THAT STRIKE BACK,

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WHAT SHAPE DO YOU THINK IT

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COULD TAKE, AND WHERE WOULD

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THINGS GO FROM THERE?

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>> EXACTLY THE RIGHT QUESTION.

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IF I WERE IN THE ISRAELI DEFENSE

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FORCES VERSION OF THE PENTAGON,

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AND I HAVE BEEN THERE MANY

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TIMES.

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I WAS IN CHARGE OF U.S.-ISRAELI

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MILITARY TO MILITARY OPERATIONS.

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THERE ARE A SERIES OF EXCELLENT

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TORY OPTIONS THAT PROBABLY RUN

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FROM MAJOR CYBER ATTACK TO GO

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AFTER THE ECONOMY, UP TO

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SPECIAL FORCES, FURTHER

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TARGETED KILLINGS, PERHAPS IN

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TEHRAN, CREWS MISSILES, STRIKE

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, PERHAPS FROM THE SEA, GOING

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AFTER ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE, OR

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PERHAPS THE NUCLEAR FACILITIES.

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YOU KIND OF WORK YOUR WAY UP IN

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TERMS OF THE OPTIONS YOU

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PRESENT.

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AT THE TOP OF THAT LIST IS FULL

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ON STRIKES OVER THE CAPITAL

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LEFT AROUND. I DOUBT THAT

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EFFORT WILL GO THROUGH. I THINK

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THE CHOICE WOULD PROBABLY LAND

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IN A FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE STRIKE

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DIRECTED, I WOULD GUESS,

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AGAINST THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR